Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 3
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VER
3 - 0
TOL
28%
28%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 2
SAN
45%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
QRO
1 - 2
CAZ
39%
28%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 0
CAZ
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VER
0 - 0
CAZ
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |