Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 2
BOC
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
MON
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIJ
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAZ
5 - 0
TIJ
49%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 2
CAZ
28%
28%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
CAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 2
ATS
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |