Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
QRO
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
CAZ
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 1
SNL
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
CAZ
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |