Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis

Toluca Cruz Azul
84 ELO 83
-5.8% Tilt -14.4%
331º General ELO ranking 322º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47%
Toluca
26.1%
Draw
26.9%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
Toluca
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.9%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+22%
+25%
Cruz Azul

ELO progression

Toluca
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2008
SNL
San Luis
2 - 0
Toluca
TOL
41%
27%
32%
84 78 6 0
03 Feb. 2008
TOL
Toluca
2 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
59%
23%
18%
84 78 6 0
27 Jan. 2008
SAN
Santos Laguna
2 - 2
Toluca
TOL
53%
25%
22%
84 83 1 0
20 Jan. 2008
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Atlas FC
ATS
57%
23%
20%
84 77 7 0
25 Nov. 2007
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
53%
26%
22%
84 82 2 0

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2008
NEC
Necaxa
2 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
35%
27%
39%
83 76 7 0
03 Feb. 2008
CAZ
Cruz Azul
4 - 0
San Luis
SNL
61%
22%
18%
83 79 4 0
27 Jan. 2008
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
38%
26%
36%
83 78 5 0
20 Jan. 2008
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
48%
24%
28%
83 83 0 0
25 Nov. 2007
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
47%
26%
28%
84 82 2 -1