Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
47%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
SLO
3 - 1
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 0
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
VER
0 - 2
CAZ
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATS
56%
22%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
TIG
0 - 2
CAZ
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CAZ
0 - 1
SNL
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |