Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 2
DOR
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
TIG
1 - 3
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
43%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
52%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
AME
1 - 0
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
VER
0 - 1
CAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CAZ
3 - 0
SNL
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |