Toluca Premier vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 0
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEX
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
4 - 2
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AEM
0 - 1
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TEM
0 - 1
REB
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TEM
1 - 1
QUE
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
PAC
3 - 0
TEM
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
TEM
0 - 1
CAZ
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TEM
1 - 1
ZAM
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |