Toluca Premier vs Deportivo Tepic JAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 0
TOL
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
ZAM
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NEX
2 - 1
TOL
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic JAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 0
REB
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TEP
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 0
TEP
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 1
PAC
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 1
TEP
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |