Tölö vs Onsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
76%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
13º
11º
50
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 89.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tölö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TIF
0 - 7
AST
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FRO
4 - 2
TIF
82%
12%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAV
6 - 2
TIF
77%
13%
9%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TIF
1 - 1
VAR
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESK
4 - 0
TIF
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Onsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 0
OBK
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
OBK
0 - 3
KAL
6%
14%
81%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OBK
0 - 5
HEL
9%
15%
76%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
QVI
1 - 3
OBK
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OBK
6 - 1
HIT
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |