CD Toledo B vs CD Manchego Ciudad Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 4
TOL
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 2
UBC
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
MAN
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LGI
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
VIL
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
CDC
4 - 0
LGI
58%
23%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDC
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 1
ALM
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
CDC
50%
25%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CDC
0 - 1
MAD
37%
27%
36%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |