Toen FS vs Caldelao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
34%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LOÑ
4 - 0
TOE
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
TOE
45%
21%
33%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TOE
4 - 2
RUA
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COV
2 - 1
TOE
81%
12%
8%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TOE
0 - 5
MEL
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caldelao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 2
PAL
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RUA
7 - 1
CAL
38%
22%
39%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
COV
16%
17%
68%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
3 - 0
CAL
72%
15%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
ARR
20%
19%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |