Tirsense vs Vilar de Perdizes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
4º
35
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 1
MER
53%
23%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PED
1 - 2
TIR
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
AMA
36%
28%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
TIR
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
0 - 2
MON
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
VPE
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 1
PED
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AMA
3 - 2
VPE
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 0
BRA
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |