Tiro Federal Morteros vs Sarmiento Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiro Federal Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 0
TIR
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 1
ALP
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ATE
1 - 1
TIR
23%
23%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 0
CAA
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 0
TIR
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
RCU
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
RAC
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ALP
1 - 2
SAR
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 0
ATE
73%
16%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CAA
1 - 1
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |