East Timor vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Timor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
NPL
2 - 1
TLS
82%
13%
6%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
IDN
6 - 0
TLS
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 62 | 54 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
LAO
6 - 1
TLS
96%
4%
0%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
KHM
4 - 2
TLS
95%
4%
1%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
TLS
0 - 5
PHL
2%
8%
91%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
NPL
2 - 1
TLS
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
NPL
0 - 0
LKA
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NPL
0 - 1
PRK
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
AFG
0 - 1
NPL
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |