Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 1
TIJ
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
JUA
0 - 0
TIJ
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
TIJ
0 - 0
PUM
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
QRO
2 - 2
TIJ
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
TIJ
72%
18%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 0
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
QRO
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
TIG
2 - 1
TOL
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
LEO
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |