Liga MX Finals - Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 2
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
TIJ
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 1
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 0
TIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TIJ
3 - 1
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 0
TOL
32%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |