Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
TIJ
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 1
TIJ
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UAT
5 - 5
TIJ
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
ATS
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 1
PUM
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
QRO
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 3
TOL
33%
29%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |