Tijuana vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TIJ
1 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 2
TIJ
11%
17%
73%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 1
TIJ
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TIJ
1 - 1
PAC
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TIJ
2 - 0
ATS
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAF
2 - 0
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 2
TIJ
11%
17%
73%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 6
TEP
24%
28%
49%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 0
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |