Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Tijuana vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 3
TIJ
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TEC
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 2
TIJ
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 1
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 0
CAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 3
TIJ
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOB
3 - 2
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 1
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LOB
4 - 0
AGU
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 1
LOB
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |