Tijuana vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TIJ
3 - 1
MON
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 2
TIJ
25%
28%
47%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 0
JAG
73%
19%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 1
TIJ
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 2
CAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 2
AGU
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
ORI
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
DUR
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
TEC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 1
DUR
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |