Tijuana vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TIJ
2 - 0
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
UAT
0 - 1
TIJ
16%
21%
62%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PUM
3 - 3
TIJ
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TIJ
1 - 2
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 4
TIJ
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CIM
1 - 0
JUA
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TEP
0 - 1
CIM
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CIM
0 - 1
UAT
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CIM
3 - 0
UAP
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LOB
3 - 2
CIM
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |