Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 2
TIG
26%
28%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
TIG
3 - 2
TIJ
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 2
CAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
BYM
1 - 0
TIG
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
TIG
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAZ
3 - 2
TOL
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUM
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
4 - 1
MAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TIJ
3 - 2
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |