Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 1
SCI
47%
27%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
SCI
2 - 1
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 0
EME
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
EME
1 - 0
TIG
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |