Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
LDA
2 - 2
TIG
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TIG
30%
29%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TIG
2 - 2
QRO
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ATS
0 - 0
TIG
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
TIG
4 - 0
EST
72%
19%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
IRA
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |