Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
QRO
0 - 0
TIG
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 1
CAZ
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
TIG
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 0
ATS
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
4 - 4
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |