Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 2
CAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TIG
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 2
TIG
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
PUM
0 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 2
TOL
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |