Tigres UANL vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 2
TIG
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
TIJ
57%
25%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JAG
2 - 2
TIG
41%
27%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAC
1 - 1
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 3
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |