Tierra Firme vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
3 - 0
ORI
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 4
SUN
25%
24%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TIE
4 - 1
CEN
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
TIE
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
MSM
1 - 0
TIE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
MSM
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 4
NAC
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEN
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |