Tierra Firme vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
MSM
1 - 2
TIE
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
TIE
0 - 1
COS
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OES
1 - 0
TIE
63%
20%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
TIE
0 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
TIE
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
AZU
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 0
IND
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
SUN
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 2
CEN
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 2
VIS
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |