Tierra Firme vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 1
TIE
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
TIE
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 0
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 3
MSM
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 1
NAC
33%
25%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
SUN
24%
24%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 2
COL
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 0
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |