Tierra Firme vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
TIE
2 - 3
VIS
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 1
TIE
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
AMI
0 - 3
TIE
11%
17%
73%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TIE
0 - 2
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
MSM
1 - 2
TIE
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AZU
0 - 0
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 3
CEN
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
0 - 0
CEN
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 0
CEN
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
CHI
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |