Tierra Firme vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TIE
0 - 0
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
7 - 1
TIE
68%
19%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 0
TIE
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 6
COS
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
TIE
72%
19%
10%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OES
1 - 2
CEN
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
RIV
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 2
COL
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEN
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
MIL
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |