Tierra Firme vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
TIE
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
MSM
1 - 0
TIE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
TIE
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 1
TIE
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
TIE
1 - 2
SUN
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEN
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SUN
3 - 0
CEN
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
MSM
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |