Tierra Firme vs AD Orión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 4
SUN
25%
24%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TIE
4 - 1
CEN
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
TIE
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
MSM
1 - 0
TIE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
TIE
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AD Orión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 4
NAC
19%
24%
58%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 3
MSM
21%
24%
56%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
ORI
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SUN
7 - 0
ORI
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | -1 |