Thun II vs Lancy FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
THU
2 - 1
NAT
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LAC
0 - 2
THU
24%
23%
54%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
THU
8 - 0
MAR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BUL
0 - 1
THU
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
1 - 1
THU
18%
19%
64%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 2
LAN
49%
22%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
ECH
2 - 2
LAN
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 3
FCM
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VEV
2 - 1
LAN
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 3
TER
66%
18%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |