Thun II vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 1
MAR
29%
22%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 3
ETO
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
YOU
2 - 2
THU
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 2
VEV
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LAU
6 - 1
THU
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 3
LAN
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CSC
3 - 1
FRI
62%
20%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FRI
0 - 5
NAT
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ECH
3 - 0
FRI
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
0 - 1
FCA
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |