Thun II vs FC Malley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MEY
3 - 0
THU
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
UGS
71%
17%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
THU
4 - 1
LAN
44%
23%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ECH
2 - 1
THU
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
THU
2 - 2
BUL
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Malley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCM
2 - 5
ECH
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BUL
4 - 3
FCM
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 3
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LEM
4 - 0
FCM
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 3
TER
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |