Three Star vs Tribhuvan Army analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
13º
8º
34
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Three Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
STA
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
NRT
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
FRC
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
KHU
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NRT
1 - 0
STA
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tribhuvan Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CHU
0 - 1
ARM
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
APF
3 - 0
ARM
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAK
1 - 1
ARM
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 1
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 0
CHU
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |