Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
11º
11º
44
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 0
THI
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
THI
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 1
NAE
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCH
2 - 0
THI
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
THI
1 - 0
LFA
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
HEL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
2 - 1
AAF
16%
18%
66%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 1
FCH
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AKA
3 - 2
AAF
28%
24%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 0
NAE
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |