Third Lanark vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
TLA
2 - 1
PAR
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
TLA
0 - 0
HIB
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
GRE
0 - 2
TLA
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
QUE
0 - 1
TLA
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
STM
1 - 2
TLA
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1908 |
GRE
2 - 2
KIL
63%
20%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
HAM
3 - 3
KIL
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
23%
24%
52%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
AIR
1 - 0
KIL
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
KIL
0 - 2
GLA
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |