Third Lanark vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1905 |
TLA
1 - 0
STM
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1905 |
TLA
1 - 2
DUN
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1905 |
AIR
0 - 0
TLA
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1905 |
TLA
3 - 0
PGA
89%
7%
4%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1905 |
QUE
0 - 5
TLA
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1905 |
MHE
2 - 1
HOM
21%
22%
57%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1905 |
HOM
1 - 0
STM
77%
13%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1905 |
GRE
2 - 1
HOM
18%
21%
62%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1905 |
HOM
4 - 0
PGA
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1905 |
ABE
2 - 1
HOM
35%
23%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |