Thespa Gunma vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OIT
2 - 3
THE
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
THE
4 - 0
TOC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EHI
1 - 2
THE
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
THE
2 - 1
CON
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GIF
0 - 1
THE
32%
26%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SHO
2 - 1
KYO
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
KYO
1 - 0
SHO
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
KAW
0 - 1
SHO
84%
11%
4%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
TOK
2 - 2
SHO
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SHO
0 - 2
CON
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |