Thermal Abano vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thermal Abano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
THE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
THE
4 - 1
MAS
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 2
THE
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
THE
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
THE
3 - 1
FID
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
ACP
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
VIR
21%
24%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
5 - 3
FID
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RIC
0 - 4
VIR
21%
23%
57%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
SAC
71%
16%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |