Thermal Abano vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thermal Abano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
THE
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
THE
0 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAS
0 - 1
THE
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
THE
3 - 0
ACP
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
THE
1 - 0
CAM
62%
20%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ASL
3 - 1
SAC
76%
17%
8%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 1
ASL
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ASL
3 - 0
CLO
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIC
1 - 2
ASL
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASL
1 - 0
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |