The Strongest vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 3
STR
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
STR
3 - 0
OPE
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
STR
2 - 1
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
JWI
2 - 2
STR
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 4
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 3
AUR
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 3
JWI
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BOL
3 - 1
AUR
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |