UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 0-3
The New Saints vs Slovan Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SBR
1 - 0
TNS
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 3
TNS
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
TNS
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
RHY
0 - 2
TNS
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 9
TNS
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SBR
1 - 0
TNS
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
SBR
2 - 1
POD
63%
21%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
SBR
1 - 0
KOS
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
SBR
3 - 1
SLO
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TNV
1 - 2
SBR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |