TFC Academy vs Cincinnati Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TFC Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
TFC
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 0
TFC
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 7
KWU
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 3
KWU
19%
23%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
6 - 2
TFC
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
MIC
3 - 0
CIN
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 0
TFC
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
DAY
1 - 1
CIN
47%
21%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
CIN
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
CIN
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |