Ternana Calcio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 0
TER
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CAT
3 - 1
TER
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SAM
1 - 2
TER
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
TER
1 - 2
TRI
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 1
ANC
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
VNZ
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ASC
4 - 0
NAP
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
NAP
0 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |