Ternana Calcio vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
LEO
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
FRO
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 0
TER
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
PES
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
LAT
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 1
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |