Akhmat Grozny vs Aruan Nartkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
AVV
0 - 1
TER
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
TER
7 - 2
SLS
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2002 |
NEK
1 - 4
TER
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
TER
3 - 0
ANG
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
DMA
2 - 3
TER
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
SUA
2 - 0
ARN
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
KRD
2 - 0
ARN
82%
12%
5%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2002 |
ARN
0 - 1
DYS
16%
26%
59%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
DMK
3 - 1
ARN
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
ARN
0 - 2
DIN
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |